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Originally published on Substack. The late, great economist Milton Friedman used to remind us that one of the great mistakes in public policy is judging programs by their intentions instead of their results. That is the right test for the new SNAP restrictions spreading under the MAHA banner. The stated goal is healthier choices. The early result is a bureaucratic maze that treats low-income adults like children, burdens retailers, and substitutes political nutrition theories for dignity and common sense. The fresh Washington Post reporting is the real tell. Across nearly two dozen states with approved waivers, and ten already implementing them as of the report, recipients and retailers are running into a patchwork of rules that is inconsistent, counterintuitive, and hard to administer. That is not a side effect. It is what happens when government tries to micromanage millions of grocery decisions from above. The Knowledge Problem This is another economic titan Friedrich Hayek who coined the “knowledge problem,” which is now being realized in a grocery cart. In Idaho, KitKats and Twix were allowed because they contain flour, while other candy was banned. In Iowa, the Post reported that one mother’s sweetened sparkling water and semisweet baking chips were rejected while chips and cookies still went through. Some cold sandwiches may qualify or not depending on details that ordinary families cannot possibly track in real time, and retailers told the Post that even Pedialyte was excluded under the state’s rules. That is not serious nutrition policy. That is bureaucratic absurdity. When politicians and agencies try to define “healthy” one product at a time, they do not create clarity. They create loopholes, contradictions, and arbitrary line-drawing. The result is exactly what Friedman warned about: a system run by people who do not bear the costs of the mistakes they make. A Tax on Small Retailers This is not just paternalism. It is an administrative tax. The Post reported that some states did not provide product-code lists, leaving retailers to guess or to buy third-party lists that can cost thousands of dollars. In West Virginia, the state said even buying a one-time list to give retailers was “cost prohibitive” at $130,000. In Oklahoma, one nonprofit grocer said SNAP accounted for about 60 percent of total sales, which means compliance mistakes are not trivial. They threaten the business itself. This is how government makes life more expensive without calling it a tax. Stores have to update systems, train employees, sort through vague rules, and worry about losing authorization if they get something wrong. USDA told the Post it would initially avoid penalizing minor mistakes, but after a 90-day runway enforcement had already begun in at least five states. That kind of uncertainty falls hardest on smaller retailers, especially those serving poorer neighborhoods. Picking Winners and Losers These rules also end up picking winners and losers in ways that have little to do with health. USDA’s waiver tracker shows that all 22 approved states restricted certain drinks, while 14 also restricted candy, but the definitions vary from state to state. Some rules focus on soda, some on candy, some on sales-tax treatment, and some on broader categories of desserts or sweetened beverages. That means the same family can face different rules depending on where they live, and suppliers can be advantaged or disadvantaged based on arbitrary classifications.
That is not a neutral safety net. It is political consumer management. The Dignity Problem The most revealing part of the Post story was not economic. It was human. Recipients described being surprised, embarrassed, and stigmatized at checkout. One participant in Oklahoma said rejected items had to be put back. Others joined a lawsuit challenging the changes in five states, arguing the rules are unlawful and harmful to vulnerable households. Supporters of the restrictions say the policies should be tested and measured. Fair enough. But if the early rollout is already producing confusion and humiliation without clear evidence of better outcomes, that should give policymakers pause. True dignity does not come from a government-approved shopping cart. It comes from being able to earn, provide, and choose for yourself. The Bigger Administrative State This is part of a larger pattern. The National Conference of State Legislatures reports that more than 100 MAHA-related state measures were introduced in 2025, including efforts to restrict SNAP purchases and regulate food ingredients and additives. At the federal level, the FDA’s 2026 food priorities include several MAHA-related deliverables. Whatever one thinks of the health goals, the practical reality is obvious: government is layering more administration, more compliance, and more politics onto one more part of daily life. And as the progressive group CBPP has warned in a broader SNAP context, administrative burdens matter. Complexity can lead to delays, confusion, and people losing access to benefits they are eligible for. Even people who support nutrition reform should understand that adding friction is not costless. The Better Standard If policymakers really care about health, they should use Friedman’s standard and ask what actually works. Does this policy improve health outcomes in a way that justifies the confusion, stigma, compliance costs, and arbitrary classifications? Or is it mostly another case of government trying to play parent with other people’s lives while avoiding the harder work of promoting self-sufficiency, income growth, and real upward mobility? Government is a poor parent, a clumsy nutritionist, and an expensive helper. The better North Star is not more checkout-line supervision. It is helping people get to the point where they can buy what they want with their own earned income and live with the consequences as free adults. Three Takeaways for Policymakers 1. Good intentions are not enough. The early evidence shows state SNAP restrictions are creating confusing and counterintuitive checkout rules, not clear nutrition standards. 2. Administrative burdens are real costs. Retailers face system changes, compliance risks, and in some cases thousands of dollars in added costs, while states themselves are struggling with implementation. 3. Dignity should matter more. A policy that increases stigma and confusion without clear evidence of better outcomes deserves much more skepticism than it has gotten so far.
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Vance Ginn, Ph.D.
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